Bitcoin Faces a Race to Secure a Green 2025 Yearly Candle

Bitcoin (BTC) eyed weekend highs into Sunday’s weekly close with the yearly candle in focus.

Key points:

Bitcoin sees an eerily calm weekend as analysis eyes a three-day bullish divergence locking in.

It may take until the new year for capital to redeploy and the BTC price situation to change.

Bitcoin is down 6% for the year, potentially marking a bearish post-halving record.

New year could bring $100,000 BTC price

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action nearing $88,000 after two days of barely any volatility.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Friday had seen familiar fakeout moves as liquidity hunts accompanied a record $24 billion options expiry event. As Cointelegraph reported, this was thought to be acting as a suppressing force on price.

Now, bullish arguments included a key relative strength index (RSI) divergence on three-day timeframes. 

“Bitcoin locked in a three-day bullish divergence, right on top of key support,” trader Jelle wrote in an X post on the topic. 

“The previous two bottoms formed with 3-day divergences as well. Time for history to repeat?” BTC/USD three-day chart with RSI data. Source: Jelle/X

Trader BitBull put faith in seasonality when it came to a BTC price rebound. Institutions, he argued, would begin allocating capital to “underperforming assets” in early January.

“This could trigger a breakout from this trendline and a move towards $100K will happen,” he predicted Friday.

$BTC has probably 5-6 days of sideways price action left.

As 2025 ends, this is what going to happen:

– Those who sold at a loss for tax harvesting will buyback BTC

– Investors will allocate into underperforming assets in Jan 2026 as they always do.

This could trigger a… pic.twitter.com/3NejU5j2do

— BitBull (@AkaBull_) December 26, 2025

Trader and analyst Aksel Kibar was unsurprised by Bitcoin’s range-bound behavior and lack of volatility given the sharp upside during Q3.

“Volatility is cyclical,” he told X followers. 

“High volatility is now followed by low volatility until we find a clean chart pattern setup to capitalize on.” BTC/USD one-day chart. Source:…..

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