Discount store shopping cart aisle products by Kwangmoozaa via Adobe Stock
Chesapeake, Virginia-based Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company has a market capitalization of $24.9 billion and offers a range of everyday consumables, including food, candy, health, and personal care products.
DLTR stock has lagged behind the broader market over the past year, growing 16.2% compared to the S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX) 20.1% surge. Moreover, in 2026, the stock has risen by nearly 5.9%, underperforming the SPX’s 13.1% rise.
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Focusing on its industry benchmark, the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) has risen 3.2% over the past year, underperforming the stock. In 2026, however, XLP has grown 9% and has rallied the stock.
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DLTR has not been the preferred defensive stock choice for analysts due to its less-than-desirable fundamentals. The company has been experiencing a downward spiral in revenue. The company has not been able to generate growing demand over the last three years as its sales dropped at a 11.8% annual rate. Moreover, the company has a lower gross margin, revealing loose structural profitability. Additionally, its five-year average ROIC was 7.1%, as compared to the best consumer retail companies, which average nearly 30%, and is quite low.
For the current year, which ends in January 2027, analysts expect DLTR’s EPS to rise 21.7% to $7 on a diluted basis. The company surpassed the consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters.
Among the 26 analysts covering DLTR stock, the consensus is a “Moderate Buy.” That’s based on nine “Strong Buy” ratings, one “Moderate Buy,” 12 “Holds,” two “Moderate Sells,” and two “Strong Sells.”
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The configuration has remained more or less unchanged over the past months.
On Aug. 17, Wells…
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